1º de Maio vs Académica do Lobito: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Académica do Lobito. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Académica do Lobito?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,589) and Académica do Lobito (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Académica do Lobito have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1º de Maio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Académica do Lobito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1º de Maio 0-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Aug 4, 2018 | 1º de Maio 0-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Académica do Lobito 2-2 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jul 16, 2017 | Académica do Lobito 1-3 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1º de Maio 4-2 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Académica do Lobito vs 1º de Maio on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Académica do Lobito sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Académica do Lobito?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Académica do Lobito.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Académica do Lobito played?
- 1º de Maio vs Académica do Lobito is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.