1. FC Muhlhausen vs Backnang: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for 1. FC Muhlhausen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Muhlhausen vs Backnang?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate 1. FC Muhlhausen (1,729) and Backnang (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Muhlhausen have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Backnang have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oberachern(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Backnang(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 1. FC Muhlhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Backnang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Backnang 5-0 1. FC Muhlhausen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Backnang vs 1. FC Muhlhausen on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Muhlhausen score 2.0 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 3; Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Muhlhausen | 2.0 | 3.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Muhlhausen sit 14th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (3 points from 3 matches) and Backnang sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Muhlhausen vs Backnang?
- The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for 1. FC Muhlhausen.
- Where and when is 1. FC Muhlhausen vs Backnang played?
- 1. FC Muhlhausen vs Backnang is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026CFR PforzheimvsFC Holzhausen
- Nov 28, 2026FC NöttingenvsReutlingen
- Nov 28, 2026FC 08 VillingenvsBalingen
- Nov 28, 2026TeningenvsNormannia Gmünd
- Nov 28, 2026FV RavensburgvsBahlinger SC
- Nov 28, 2026EssingenvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- Nov 29, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsTSV Singen
- Nov 29, 2026Karlsruhe IIvsOberachern