22 de Julio vs El Nacional: result 2-5 and analysis
Liga Pro Serie BRelegation Group - 7Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas
Full time
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 2-5 on October 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′?El Nacional
- 39′?El Nacional
- 42′?22 de Julio
- 47′?El Nacional
- 78′?El Nacional
- 80′?22 de Julio
- 84′?El Nacional
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a El Nacional win at 50%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-5.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 22 de Julio have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; El Nacional have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 2-4 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 24, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cumbayá(home) | 1-7 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | El Nacional(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Santo Domingo(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cumbayá(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Santo Domingo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 22 de Julio(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 22 de Julio wins, 1 draw, 3 El Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | El Nacional 3-0 22 de Julio | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 22 de Julio 1-3 El Nacional | Liga Pro Serie B |
| May 9, 2026 | El Nacional 1-1 22 de Julio | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 22 de Julio 0-3 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs 22 de Julio on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
22 de Julio score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| El Nacional | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
22 de Julio sit 11th in Liga Pro Serie B (15 points from 22 matches) and El Nacional sit 12th (12 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 12 |
A question about 22 de Julio vs El Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy