AaB II vs Lystrup: result 5-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2014 at 11:00 AM (UTC)AaB's Anlæg, Aalborg
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What was the result of AaB II vs Lystrup?
AaB II won 5-1 on October 4, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AaB II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lystrup have 6, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2014 | VRI(away) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Djursland(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Hjørring IF(away) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Viby(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Aarhus Fremad(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2014 | Lyseng(home) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | VRI(home) | 6-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Djursland(away) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Hjørring IF(home) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 29, 2014 | Viby(away) | 4-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
AaB II score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lystrup score 2.8 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AaB II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Lystrup | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/9 | 8/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy