Aalborg Freja vs Hobro II: result 3-2 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 13, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Frejaparken, Aalborg
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What was the result of Aalborg Freja vs Hobro II?
Aalborg Freja won 3-2 on October 13, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Aalborg Freja have 3 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hobro II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Holstebro(away) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Randers Freja(away) | 2-5 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Silkeborg II(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | AaB II(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Kolding IF(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2012 | Silkeborg II(home) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | AaB II(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Kolding IF(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Lindholm(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Viby(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalborg Freja score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 11; Hobro II score 2.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalborg Freja | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
| Hobro II | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy