Aarhus Fremad II vs Tarup-Paarup: result 1-4 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2017 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus
Full time
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad II vs Tarup-Paarup?
Tarup-Paarup won 1-4 on September 2, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tarup-Paarup have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2017 | Varde IF Elite(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 18, 2017 | Kolding B(away) | 0-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 13, 2017 | SfB-Oure(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2017 | B 1913(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Holstebro(away) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2017 | Kolding B(home) | 4-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 18, 2017 | SfB-Oure(away) | 3-4 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2017 | B 1913(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2017 | Dalum(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Sønderborg(away) | 3-4 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus Fremad II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tarup-Paarup score 2.7 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tarup-Paarup | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tarup-Paarup | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy