Aarhus Fremad vs FC Fredericia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus
The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Aarhus Fremad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus Fremad vs FC Fredericia?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Aarhus Fremad (1,861) and FC Fredericia (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Fredericia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | SGI(away) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringkøbing(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Odense(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SfB-Oure(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aarhus Fremad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Fredericia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia 0-0 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Jan 16, 2026 | FC Fredericia 4-4 Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FC Fredericia 2-1 Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Fredericia 2-1 Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2014 | Aarhus Fremad 2-1 FC Fredericia | DBU Pokalen |
Last archived meeting: FC Fredericia vs Aarhus Fremad on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Fredericia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Fredericia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus Fremad sit 5th in 1. Division (8 points from 5 matches) and FC Fredericia sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus Fremad vs FC Fredericia?
- The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Aarhus Fremad.
- Where and when is Aarhus Fremad vs FC Fredericia played?
- Aarhus Fremad vs FC Fredericia is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Riisvangen Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.