Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus
The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Hillerød. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Aarhus Fremad (1,856) and Hillerød (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hillerød have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringkøbing(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 4-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vaeggerlose(away) | 12-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Aarhus Fremad win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hillerød win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød 1-1 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hillerød 1-0 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aarhus Fremad 3-1 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Aarhus Fremad 3-1 Hillerød | 2. Division |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Hillerød 1-0 Aarhus Fremad | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hillerød score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Hillerød | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus Fremad sit 5th in 1. Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Hillerød sit 11th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Hillerød.
- Where and when is Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød played?
- Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Riisvangen Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.