Where and when is Aarhus vs Benfica played?

Aarhus vs Benfica is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aarhus vs Benfica: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus

Aarhus

Benfica

The Footlab model makes Benfica the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aarhus vs Benfica?

Benfica starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (2,357 vs 2,081).

Aarhus win27 %

Draw25 %

Benfica win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Benfica have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aarhus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Benfica(away)	1-3	UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026	Viborg(away)	1-2	Superliga
Aug 11, 2026	Sabah FA(away)	0-4	UEFA Champions League
Aug 5, 2026	Sabah FA(home)	2-1	UEFA Champions League
Aug 1, 2026	Lyngby(away)	2-2	Superliga

Benfica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Aarhus(home)	3-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 17, 2026	Casa Pia(away)	7-0	Primeira Liga
Aug 13, 2026	Heart Of Midlothian(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Academico Viseu(home)	2-2	Primeira Liga
Aug 6, 2026	Heart Of Midlothian(home)	6-1	UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aarhus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Benfica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Benfica 3-1 Aarhus	UEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Benfica vs Aarhus on Aug 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aarhus	1.9	1.5	4	10/15	11/15
Benfica	3.1	1.0	4	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aarhus vs Benfica?: The Footlab model makes Benfica the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Aarhus.
Where and when is Aarhus vs Benfica played?: Aarhus vs Benfica is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.