Aarhus vs Hobro: result 2-1 and analysis
DBU Pokalen2nd RoundKick-off on September 23, 2014 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
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What was the result of Aarhus vs Hobro?
Aarhus won 2-1 on September 23, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hobro have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2014 | Vejle(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2014 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2014 | FC Fredericia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 24, 2014 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 20, 2014 | Viborg(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Esbjerg(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 15, 2014 | Sonderjyske(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 1, 2014 | Vestsjælland(home) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 10, 2014 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 3-0 | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hobro score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Hobro | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy