Aarhus vs Roskilde: result 2-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on July 27, 2014 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
Full time
What was the result of Aarhus vs Roskilde?
Aarhus and Roskilde drew 2-2 on July 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 14′E. NielsenRoskilde
- 16′A. LissauRoskilde
- 17′M. VatsadzeAarhus
- 32′Daniel ChristensenAarhus
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Roskilde have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2014 | Aalborg(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 11, 2014 | Sonderjyske(home) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 8, 2014 | Vestsjælland(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| May 5, 2014 | Odense(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Viborg(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2013 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Søllerød-Vedbæk(away) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 5, 2012 | Randers FC(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Roskilde | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy