Aarup vs Hedensted: result 2-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 6, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Hedensted?
Aarup won 2-1 on October 6, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Hedensted have 4, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Greve(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Vejle(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Næstved II(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | OKS(home) | 5-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(away) | 3-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | GVI(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Næsby II(home) | 5-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 10; Hedensted score 2.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/10 | 8/10 |
| Hedensted | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy