Aarup vs Slagelse B&I: result 3-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on September 29, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Slagelse B&I?
Aarup won 3-1 on September 29, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 5 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Slagelse B&I have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Greve(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Vejle(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Næstved II(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Nakskov(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Hedensted(home) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Ringsted(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Greve(away) | 2-5 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Næstved II(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Nakskov(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 9; Slagelse B&I score 1.4 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/9 | 7/9 |
| Slagelse B&I | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy