Abahani vs Chattogram: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC)Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chattogram. The most likely score is 1-1. If Abahani wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abahani vs Chattogram?
Abahani starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,541 vs 1,287).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abahani vs Chattogram
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 18Nazmul Huda Faysal
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 13K. Islam
- 4Y. Khan
- 3M. Bablu
- 2H. Murad
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Chattogram
4-3-3- 20S. Reza
- 29Asadul Islam Sakib
- 17S. Z. Nipu
- 16S. Islam
- 24S. Hossain Sayem
- 98M. Kahraba
- 2M. Alam
- 4M. Hasan
- 15N. Chakma
- 21Shakir Ahmed
- 22M. Bappi Hasan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abahani have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Chattogram have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(away) | 3-1 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | City Club(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Abahani(away) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Abahani wins, 1 draw, 0 Chattogram wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Abahani 1-1 Chattogram | Federation Cup |
Last archived meeting: Abahani vs Chattogram on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abahani score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chattogram score 1.0 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abahani | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chattogram | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abahani | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 37 |
A question about Abahani vs Chattogram?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abahani vs Chattogram?
- The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chattogram.
- Where and when is Abahani vs Chattogram played?
- Abahani vs Chattogram is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC) at Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.