ABC vs Guaratinguetá: result 2-4 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria Lamas Farache, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of ABC vs Guaratinguetá?
Guaratinguetá won 2-4 on October 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 14′Rodrigo SilvaABC (pen.)
- 26′RafinhaGuaratinguetá
- 36′RuanGuaratinguetá
- 38′Rodrigo SilvaABC
- 45′Alex AfonsoGuaratinguetá
- 77′Marquinhos SilvaGuaratinguetá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ABC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2013 | São Caetano(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2013 | Joinville(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2013 | BOA(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | Oeste(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2013 | São Caetano(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2013 | Icasa(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Paysandu(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 ABC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Guaratinguetá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2013 | Guaratinguetá 3-1 ABC | Serie B |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Guaratinguetá 2-1 ABC | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | ABC 3-0 Guaratinguetá | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ABC score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy