ABC vs Parana: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 5, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Maria Lamas Farache, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of ABC vs Parana?
ABC won 2-0 on August 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 35′Antonio Adriano Antunes de PaulaABC
- 62′Elionar Nascimento RiberioABC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, ABC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Parana have 6, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2012 | Goias(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2012 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Vitoria(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ABC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Parana score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/14 | 8/14 |
| Parana | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy