Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Parc, Balş
The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jiul Petroşani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Academica Balș (1,486) and Jiul Petroşani (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica Balș have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jiul Petroşani have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Academica Balș win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jiul Petroşani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș 2-0 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani 1-2 Academica Balș | Liga III - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Balș score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jiul Petroşani score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Balș | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Jiul Petroşani | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jiul Petroşani | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jiul Petroşani.
- Where and when is Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani played?
- Academica Balș vs Jiul Petroşani is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Parc, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.