Acadêmica Vitória vs Nautico Recife: result 1-2 and analysis
Pernambucano - 11st Phase - 4Kick-off on February 5, 2020 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Acadêmica Vitória vs Nautico Recife?
Nautico Recife won 1-2 on February 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 4′Fabio Etelvino da SilvaAcadêmica Vitória
- 13′Matheus CarvalhoNautico Recife
- 35′SalatielNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Acadêmica Vitória have 0 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nautico Recife have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2020 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Decisão(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jun 6, 2019 | Campinense(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| Jun 2, 2019 | ASA(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Decisão(home) | 4-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Petrolina(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2020 | River AC(home) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Acadêmica Vitória score 0.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 9; Nautico Recife score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acadêmica Vitória | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 4/9 | 4/9 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acadêmica Vitória sit 7th in Pernambucano - 1 (4 points from 7 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nautico Recife | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Acadêmica Vitória | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy