Academica vs Penafiel: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 2, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
Full time
What was the result of Academica vs Penafiel?
Academica won 2-1 on March 2, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 64′J. ToroAcademica
- 77′Fábio AbreuPenafiel
- 85′Yuri MatiasAcademica (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | Estoril(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Farense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Benfica B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | SC Covilha(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 9, 2019 | SC Braga B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2019 | FC Porto B(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Famalicao(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Academica win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2018 | Penafiel 2-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Academica 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Penafiel 0-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Academica 3-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Academica 1-0 Penafiel | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Penafiel 1-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penafiel vs Academica on Oct 29, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 1st in Segunda Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Penafiel sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy