Academica vs Varzim: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on November 23, 2020 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
Full time
What was the result of Academica vs Varzim?
Academica won 1-0 on November 23, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 76′M. BouldiniAcademica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Varzim have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2020 | Vilafranquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Vizela(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Penafiel(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Juventude Évora(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2020 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Mafra(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Rebordelo(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Estoril(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Academica win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2020 | Varzim 0-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Varzim 2-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| May 19, 2019 | Varzim 1-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Academica 2-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| May 12, 2018 | Varzim 1-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Academica 1-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Varzim | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy