AD Ceuta FC vs Almeria: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 26, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Full time
What was the result of AD Ceuta FC vs Almeria?
AD Ceuta FC won 3-2 on November 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′KukiAD Ceuta FC
- 37′Adri EmbarbaAlmeria
- 54′Marcos FernándezAD Ceuta FC
- 61′Sergio ArribasAlmeria
- 83′JamelliAD Ceuta FC (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Leganes(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2025 | La Unión Atlético(away) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Leganes(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Cadiz(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Castellón(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Almeria | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Almeria sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy