AD Sarchí vs Santa Cruz FC: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes AD Sarchí the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Santa Cruz FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Sarchí vs Santa Cruz FC?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate AD Sarchí (1,571) and Santa Cruz FC (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Sarchí have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AD Cofutpa(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AD Cofutpa(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 1-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AD Sarchí win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santa Cruz FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC 2-0 AD Sarchí | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 11, 2026 | AD Sarchí 1-0 Santa Cruz FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 29, 2025 | AD Sarchí 2-0 Santa Cruz FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Santa Cruz FC 0-0 AD Sarchí | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz FC vs AD Sarchí on Mar 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Sarchí score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Sarchí | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Cruz FC | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Sarchí sit 7th in Liga de Ascenso (5 points from 3 matches) and Santa Cruz FC sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AD Sarchí | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Santa Cruz FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Sarchí vs Santa Cruz FC?
- The Footlab model makes AD Sarchí the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Santa Cruz FC.
- Where and when is AD Sarchí vs Santa Cruz FC played?
- AD Sarchí vs Santa Cruz FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.