Adana 01 FK vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Adana 01 FK the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adana 01 FK vs Sakaryaspor?
Adana 01 FK starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana 01 FK have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Adana 01 FK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 01 FK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adana 01 FK | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 35 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adana 01 FK vs Sakaryaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Adana 01 FK the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is Adana 01 FK vs Sakaryaspor played?
- Adana 01 FK vs Sakaryaspor is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.