Match

Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adana DemirsporHatayspor

The Footlab model makes Hatayspor the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Hatayspor starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,463).

Adana Demirspor win26 %
Draw23 %
Hatayspor win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adana Demirspor have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adana Demirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026İstanbulspor(away)1-81. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ümraniyespor(home)1-31. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Boluspor(away)0-61. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Iğdır FK(home)1-61. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Hatayspor(away)0-41. Lig
Hatayspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Vanspor FK(home)3-11. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Serik Spor(away)2-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Sakaryaspor(home)1-11. Lig
Apr 11, 2026Sarıyer(away)0-41. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Adana Demirspor(home)4-01. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Adana Demirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hatayspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2026Hatayspor 4-0 Adana Demirspor1. Lig
Dec 1, 2025Adana Demirspor 3-3 Hatayspor1. Lig
May 17, 2025Adana Demirspor 0-5 HataysporSüper Lig
Dec 23, 2024Hatayspor 1-3 Adana DemirsporSüper Lig
Mar 27, 2024Adana Demirspor 2-1 HataysporFriendlies Clubs
Jan 27, 2024Adana Demirspor 0-1 HataysporSüper Lig

Last archived meeting: Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor on Apr 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adana Demirspor0.54.506/1513/15
Hatayspor1.02.818/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?
The Footlab model makes Hatayspor the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor played?
Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Adana Demirspor and Hatayspor

Ready to know everything about football?