Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)DATENPOL ARENA, Maria Enzersdorf
The Footlab model makes Admira Wacker the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II?
Admira Wacker starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Admira Wacker have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(away) | 2-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leithaprodersdorf(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Admira Wacker win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 0-2 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Admira Wacker 2-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-1 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Admira Wacker 2-3 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sturm Graz II 3-1 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Sturm Graz II 1-3 Admira Wacker | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Admira Wacker score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admira Wacker | 0.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Admira Wacker sit 13th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Admira Wacker | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes Admira Wacker the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II played?
- Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II is played on March 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at DATENPOL ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.