AEK Athens FC vs Apollon Smirnis: result 2-1 and analysis
Football LeagueNotios - 2Kick-off on October 19, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, Athens
Full time
What was the result of AEK Athens FC vs Apollon Smirnis?
AEK Athens FC won 2-1 on October 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 45′G. GonzálezApollon Smirnis (pen.)
- 61′D'AkolAEK Athens FC
- 85′P. MantalosAEK Athens FC (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Athens FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Apollon Smirnis have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2014 | Panegialios(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Sep 24, 2014 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Sep 12, 2014 | Fokikos(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2014 | Fokikos(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Atromitos(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2014 | Fostiras(home) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Sep 24, 2014 | Ergotelis(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Kallithea(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2014 | Kallithea(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Athens FC score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Smirnis score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy