AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: result 1-1 and analysis
1. DivisionChampionship Round - 9Kick-off on May 21, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Larnaca
Full time
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
AEK Larnaca and Pafos drew 1-1 on May 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 38′J. KvídaPafos
- 90′I. TrichkovskiAEK Larnaca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Pafos have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 6, 2023 | Aris(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Pafos(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| May 6, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2023 | Aris(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AEK Larnaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pafos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | Pafos 4-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 4, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Pafos 1-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| May 14, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Apr 4, 2022 | Pafos 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Dec 20, 2021 | AEK Larnaca 1-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 2nd in 1. Division (69 points from 36 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (62 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy