AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: result 2-4 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
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What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
Pafos won 2-4 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′Waldo RubioAEK Larnaca
- 15′Domingos QuinaPafos
- 42′Domingos QuinaPafos
- 83′Anderson SilvaPafos
- 87′Đ. IvanovićAEK Larnaca
- 89′V. DragomirPafos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pafos have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Aris(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Anorthosis(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Bayern München(home) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Enosis(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AEK Larnaca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pafos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 0-0 Pafos | Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Pafos 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 2-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Pafos 0-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 3-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pafos | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 2nd in 1. Division (69 points from 36 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (62 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy