AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: result 2-2 and analysis
1. DivisionChampionship Group - 35Kick-off on May 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
Full time
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
AEK Larnaca and Pafos drew 2-2 on May 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 22′R. BajićAEK Larnaca
- 31′Pêpê RodriguesPafos
- 88′W. OdefalkPafos
- 90′H. MiličevićAEK Larnaca (pen.)
Official lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AEK Larnaca
4-3-3- 86Álex Cardero
- 11R. Bajić
- 29G. Naoum
- 17Pere Pons
- 7Gus Ledes
- 6Jimmy Suárez
- 2P. Ioannou
- 25C. Kyriakou
- 15H. Miličević
- 21Miramón
- 51A. Paraskevas
Pafos
3-4-2-1- 11Jajá
- 8Domingos Quina
- 30V. Dragomir
- 17M. Oršić
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 77João Correia
- 14N. Ioannou
- 4David Luiz
- 23D. Luckassen
- 1J. Gorter
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pafos have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aris(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Aris(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEL(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEK Larnaca win, 3 draws, 2 Pafos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pafos 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pafos 1-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Pafos 1-1 AEK Larnaca | Super Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 2-4 Pafos | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 0-0 Pafos | Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Pafos 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Pafos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 1st in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy