AEL vs Qarabag: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 5, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Full time
What was the result of AEL vs Qarabag?
AEL and Qarabag drew 1-1 on August 5, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 69′S. ŠćepovićAEL (pen.)
- 90′A. ZoubirQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Qarabag have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2021 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2021 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2021 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2021 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2021 | Ashdod(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2021 | Ashdod(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 15, 2021 | FC Augsburg(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2021 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy