AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Cardiff City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate AFC Bournemouth U21 (1,843) and Cardiff City U21 (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cardiff City U21 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(away) | 1-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wigan Athletic U21(away) | 5-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Barnsley U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(home) | 4-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Liverpool U21(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Bournemouth U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cardiff City U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cardiff City U21 4-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Feb 2, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21 2-2 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Cardiff City U21 1-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Cardiff City U21 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Cardiff City U21 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff City U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth U21 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Cardiff City U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 2nd in Premier League Cup (11 points from 6 matches) and Cardiff City U21 sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | Cardiff City U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Cardiff City U21.
- Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21 played?
- AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21 is played on November 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21