Match

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset

AFC Bournemouth U21Plymouth U21

The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Plymouth U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate AFC Bournemouth U21 (1,835) and Plymouth U21 (1,747).

AFC Bournemouth U21 win48 %
Draw22 %
Plymouth U21 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth U21 have 0, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Bournemouth U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chelsea U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Cardiff City U21(away)1-4Premier League Cup
Jul 10, 2026Worthing(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(away)1-4Professional Development League
Apr 24, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-0Professional Development League
Plymouth U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U21(away)1-3Premier League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth U21 score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Bournemouth U212.32.2311/1512/15
Plymouth U211.03.001/11/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2AFC Bournemouth U216321151011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Plymouth U21.
Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21 played?
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21 is played on October 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AFC Bournemouth U21 and Plymouth U21

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