AFC Hornchurch vs East Thurrock United: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round QualifyingKick-off on September 14, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of AFC Hornchurch vs East Thurrock United?
AFC Hornchurch and East Thurrock United drew 1-1 on September 14, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; East Thurrock United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Billericay Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Grimsby(away) | 0-4 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2011 | Farnborough(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Farnborough(home) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2012 | Thurrock(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Thurrock(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Chelmsford City(home) | 6-6 | FA Cup |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Chelmsford City(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; East Thurrock United score 2.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| East Thurrock United | 2.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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