Afogados vs Globo: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 30, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Valdemar Viana de Araújo, Afogados da Ingazeira, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Afogados vs Globo?
Afogados won 3-2 on September 30, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 11′RodrigoAfogados
- 15′Gabriel SilvaGlobo (pen.)
- 33′Francisco Edivan Rodrigues SilvaAfogados
- 78′DenisAfogados
- 84′ErickGlobo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afogados have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Globo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | Campinense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Floresta(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 25, 2020 | Ponte Preta(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2020 | Salgueiro(away) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Retrô(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | Guarany de Sobral(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Atlético Cajazeirense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Força e Luz(home) | 6-1 | Potiguar |
| Aug 10, 2020 | America-RN(away) | 0-2 | Potiguar |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Santa Cruz RN(home) | 0-1 | Potiguar |
How many goals should we expect?
Afogados score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Globo score 2.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afogados | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Globo | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy