Afragolese vs Aranova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
The Footlab AI model makes Afragolese the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Aranova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afragolese wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afragolese vs Aranova?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Afragolese (1,686) and Aranova (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afragolese vs Aranova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afragolese
Not enough data to predict the Afragolese lineup.
Aranova
Not enough data to predict the Aranova lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Aranova have 1, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Paganese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Certosa V. Campagnano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aranova score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aranova | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 4/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afragolese sit 14th in Serie D - Girone G (6 points from 6 matches) and Aranova sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aranova | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Afragolese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Afragolese vs Aranova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afragolese vs Aranova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Afragolese the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Aranova.
- Where and when is Afragolese vs Aranova played?
- Afragolese vs Aranova is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.