Afragolese vs Locri 1909: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 12Kick-off on November 5, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
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What was the result of Afragolese vs Locri 1909?
Afragolese won 2-1 on November 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 23′?Afragolese
- 32′A. MársicoLocri 1909 (pen.)
- 90′?Afragolese (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Locri 1909 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Canicattì(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Akragas(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Angri Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Castrovillari(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Akragas(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Castrovillari(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Ragusa(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Locri 1909 score 0.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Locri 1909 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy