Afragolese vs Paganese: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 14Kick-off on November 30, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Paganese?
Afragolese won 2-0 on November 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′633930Afragolese
- 45′F. GioielliAfragolese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Paganese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ferrandina(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Real Acerrana(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ferrandina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Manfredonia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Barletta(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Paganese | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afragolese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone H (49 points from 34 matches) and Paganese sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 46 | 49 |
A question about Afragolese vs Paganese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy