Afturelding vs Grotta: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras, Mosfellsbær
The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Grotta. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afturelding vs Grotta?
Afturelding starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afturelding have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Grotta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ægir(away) | 7-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(home) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Fylkir(away) | 3-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grindavik(home) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(away) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(home) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 0-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Njardvik(home) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(home) | 1-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 3-0 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Afturelding win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Grotta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Grotta 1-3 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Afturelding 2-0 Grotta | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Grotta 1-4 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
| May 3, 2024 | Afturelding 1-1 Grotta | 1. Deild |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Afturelding 1-1 Grotta | 1. Deild |
| May 26, 2023 | Grotta 2-3 Afturelding | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Grotta vs Afturelding on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afturelding score 3.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grotta score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Grotta | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afturelding sit 1st in 1. Deild (39 points from 19 matches) and Grotta sit 6th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 39 |
| 6 | Grotta | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afturelding vs Grotta?
- The Footlab model makes Afturelding the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Grotta.
- Where and when is Afturelding vs Grotta played?
- Afturelding vs Grotta is played on August 25, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Fagverksvöllurinn Varmá Gervigras, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.