Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Borcea
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Agricola Borcea (1,520) and Dunarea Calarasi (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agricola Borcea have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Agricola Borcea win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dunarea Calarasi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Agricola Borcea 3-0 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 0-1 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 3-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 0-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 1-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.