Ağsu vs Neftçala: result 1-4 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 7, 2014 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Ağsu şəhər stadionu, Ağsu
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What was the result of Ağsu vs Neftçala?
Neftçala won 1-4 on September 7, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ağsu have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Neftçala have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2014 | Şəmkir(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 11, 2014 | Şahdağ(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 4, 2014 | Lokomotiv-Biləcəri(home) | 5-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 27, 2014 | MOIK(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 20, 2014 | Bakılı(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2014 | Turan(away) | 3-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 11, 2014 | Lokomotiv-Biləcəri(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 7, 2014 | Şuşa(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 3, 2014 | Kapaz(home) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Bakılı(away) | 5-3 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ağsu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Neftçala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2014 | Ağsu 3-2 Neftçala | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 8, 2013 | Neftçala 0-1 Ağsu | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 10, 2013 | Ağsu 4-0 Neftçala | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Neftçala 3-1 Ağsu | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Ağsu score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Neftçala score 3.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ağsu | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Neftçala | 3.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy