Água Santa vs Ferroviária: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on February 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Distrital do Jardim Inamar, São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Água Santa vs Ferroviária?
Água Santa won 1-0 on February 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′NetinhoÁgua Santa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Água Santa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ferroviária have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Santo André(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sertãozinho(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Sao Bento(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Santo André(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Taubaté(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Água Santa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ferroviária win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Água Santa 1-3 Ferroviária | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Ferroviária 1-0 Água Santa | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Água Santa 1-0 Ferroviária | Paulista - A1 |
Last archived meeting: Água Santa vs Ferroviária on Jan 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Água Santa score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviária score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Água Santa | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ferroviária | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Água Santa sit 1st in Paulista - A2 (31 points from 15 matches) and Ferroviária sit 2nd (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Água Santa | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ferroviária | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy