Match

AH Zapla vs Sportivo Patria: result 0-1 and analysis

Torneo Federal A2nd Phase Reválida 1 - 11Kick-off on October 12, 2015 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Coronel Emilio Fabrizzi, Palpalá, Provincia de Jujuy

AH Zapla

0-1

Sportivo Patria

Full time

What was the result of AH Zapla vs Sportivo Patria?

Sportivo Patria won 0-1 on October 12, 2015.

Goalscorers

76′M. RomeroSportivo Patria

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AH Zapla have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sportivo Patria have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AH Zapla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 3, 2015	Textil Mandiyú(away)	0-1	Torneo Federal A
Sep 19, 2015	Unión Villa Krause(home)	1-0	Torneo Federal A
Sep 11, 2015	Sarmiento Resistencia(away)	0-0	Torneo Federal A
Sep 6, 2015	Libertad Asuncion(home)	2-0	Torneo Federal A
Aug 30, 2015	Gimnasia Concepción(away)	0-4	Torneo Federal A

Sportivo Patria
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 3, 2015	Unión Villa Krause(home)	2-3	Torneo Federal A
Sep 27, 2015	Sarmiento Resistencia(away)	1-1	Torneo Federal A
Sep 20, 2015	Libertad Asuncion(home)	2-2	Torneo Federal A
Sep 12, 2015	Gimnasia Concepción(away)	1-3	Torneo Federal A
Sep 5, 2015	San Lorenzo Alem(home)	0-0	Torneo Federal A

How many goals should we expect?

AH Zapla score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Patria score 1.3 and concede 1.3.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AH Zapla	0.8	1.1	6	3/15	3/15
Sportivo Patria	1.3	1.3	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy