Ahal vs Aşgabat: result 2-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 29, 2023 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Aşgabat?
Ahal won 2-1 on October 29, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Aşgabat have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | Pakhtakor(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Al Ain(away) | 2-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Arkadag(home) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Al-Fayha(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Şagadam(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-7 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Ahal(home) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Arkadag(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ahal wins, 0 draws, 1 Aşgabat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat 0-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Ahal 0-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Ahal 4-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Aşgabat 0-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Aşgabat 2-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aşgabat score 1.4 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aşgabat | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (42 points from 22 matches) and Aşgabat sit 7th (15 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Ahal vs Aşgabat?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy