Ahal vs Aşgabat: result 4-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on December 20, 2022 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Aşgabat?
Ahal won 4-1 on December 20, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Aşgabat have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Merw(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Şagadam(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Energetik(away) | 5-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Nebitci(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Energetik(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Merw(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ahal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aşgabat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2022 | Aşgabat 0-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Aşgabat 2-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 16, 2021 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Ahal 3-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Ahal 1-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 3.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aşgabat score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 3.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Aşgabat | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (55 points from 28 matches) and Aşgabat sit 6th (24 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 6 | Aşgabat | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 57 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy