Ajaccio vs Caen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajaccio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Caen have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Martigues(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2025 | Paris FC(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2025 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Annecy(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | PAU(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ajaccio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Caen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | Ajaccio 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Caen 1-0 Ajaccio | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ajaccio 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Caen 3-0 Ajaccio | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Caen 0-1 Ajaccio | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Caen 1-0 Ajaccio | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajaccio score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Caen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy