Ajaccio vs Caen: result 2-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on November 19, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio
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What was the result of Ajaccio vs Caen?
Ajaccio and Caen drew 2-2 on November 19, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 51′IlanAjaccio (pen.)
- 64′M. WaguéCaen
- 71′L. NangisCaen
- 90′B. AndréAjaccio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajaccio have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Caen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | Lorient(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Bordeaux(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Marseille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Dijon(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | Dijon(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2011 | Auxerre(away) | 2-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Montpellier(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajaccio score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Caen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy