Ajaccio vs Caen: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 20Kick-off on January 16, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio
Full time
What was the result of Ajaccio vs Caen?
Ajaccio won 1-0 on January 16, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 6′B. Moussiti-OkoAjaccio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajaccio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Caen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2021 | Paris FC(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 5, 2021 | PAU(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 22, 2020 | Amiens(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Niort(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2021 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 22, 2020 | Sochaux(home) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Dunkerque(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Estac Troyes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ajaccio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Caen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2020 | Caen 1-0 Ajaccio | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Caen 0-1 Ajaccio | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 9, 2019 | Ajaccio 1-2 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 21, 2014 | Ajaccio 0-2 Caen | Coupe de France |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Caen 0-0 Ajaccio | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Ajaccio 2-2 Caen | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajaccio score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Caen | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy