Ajaccio vs Valenciennes: result 3-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 10, 2011 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio
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What was the result of Ajaccio vs Valenciennes?
Ajaccio won 3-1 on September 10, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 36′Gaël DanicValenciennes
- 47′F. SammaritanoAjaccio
- 54′F. SammaritanoAjaccio
- 59′IlanAjaccio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajaccio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Valenciennes have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2011 | Le Mans(away) | 0-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Auxerre(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Evian TG(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Lyon(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Toulouse(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2011 | Dijon(away) | 2-3 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Bordeaux(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Caen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajaccio score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy