Ajax vs AC Milan: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 1, 2013 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs AC Milan?
Ajax and AC Milan drew 1-1 on October 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 90′S. DenswilAjax
- 90′M. BalotelliAC Milan (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2013 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 6-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 22, 2013 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Barcelona(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 14, 2013 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Groningen(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2013 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Bologna(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Napoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Celtic(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Torino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy