Ajax vs Benfica: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Benfica?
Ajax won 1-0 on October 23, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′N. MazraouiAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Benfica have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 7, 2018 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Bayern München(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2018 | HVV Te Werve(away) | 7-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2018 | Sertanense(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Porto(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 2, 2018 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2018 | Chaves(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Aves(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
| Benfica | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Benfica sit 24th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy